Jae-Won Choi
National Institute of Meteorological Sciences,
33, Seohobuk-ro, Jeju, 63568
Taiwan
Research Article
Prediction Experiment of Regional Drought over Korea Using the Similarity of Spatiotemporal Patterns of Past Droughts
Author(s): Jae-Won Choi and Yumi ChaJae-Won Choi and Yumi Cha
This study investigated a drought prediction method on the basis of similarity of spatiotemporal patterns of past droughts in Korea. The method was implemented in the following steps: First, drought areas in Korea were divided into four drought subregions by means of hierarchical clustering analysis. Second, spatiotemporal drought statistics for each subregion for the period from 1926 to 2008 were established. Temporal statistics involve the drought onset, end dates, duration, and regional drought intensities, measured by the Effective Drought Index (EDI). These statistics were collected over the four subregions, and spatial patterns of drought were examined. Third, the analogous drought events that had spatiotemporal patterns similar to those of the current or subject drought were selected. Fourth, the progress of the subject drought and the selected drought were compared. Finally, t.. View More»
