Department of Environmental Sciences, Earth System Science Chair Group, Wageningen University and Research Center, The Netherlands
Research
Assessing the Potential of Using ECMWF system-4 Seasonal Rainfall Forecasts over Central-West Ethiopia
Author(s): Tewodros A. Yate* and Hutjes RWA
Generally, climate variability has imposed formidable uncertainties and risks in productivity in tropics and subtropics. More specifically, seasonal rainfall variability has posed serious challenges to management practices that are merely dependent on climatological probabilities. Moreover, climate change has imposed unequivocal uncertainties and risks in productivity. As Ethiopia relies on natural rainfall for most of its water supply, exacerbated by existing marginal capabilities, it is very sensitive to seasonal rainfall variability. Therefore, using seasonal rainfall forecasts provides a promising opportunity to deal with such risks in advance and to improve sectorial resilience. However, in order to be usable for such applications, the rainfall forecasts need to provide better information than the climatologybased predictions. In technical expression, the seasonal rainfall foreca.. View More»
