Retired Forecaster, NOAA Spaceflight Meteorology Group, USA
Brief Report
CLIMATE AND HURRICANES
Author(s): G. Wayne Baggett*
A diversity of opinion exists concerning the effect of climate change on tropical storms and hurricanes. Some of the information appearing in the media is part opinion, part science, and can be misleading.
This paper briefly examines two natural climate cycles that influence tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico.
Using current available research, the paper illustrates the influence of natural variability on tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic basin, and how this influence can mask the contribution of anthropogenic warming.
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